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FORESTRY ON THE FARM: Getting Top Dollar for Your Timber |
| Part 1 – What’s Your Timber Worth? |
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by Dylan Jenkins |
| Extension Forester - Landowner Education |
| Virginia Tech Department of Forestry |
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Most
forest landowners know that their timber is a valuable asset. But how
valuable? As a farmer you know what the market will pay for your
agricultural commodities. Why? Because of your familiarity with the
agricultural markets. You have experience selling your commodities on
a regular basis: weekly, monthly, seasonally, and annually. But timber
is different. Most forest landowners including farmers sell timber
infrequently, sometimes only once in a lifetime. And too often timber
is sold under less than optimal situations: dad needs an expensive
operation, a vehicle must be replaced, John is going to college – do
any of these situations sound familiar? Even if your need for cash is
immediate and the window for selling timber is relatively short, you
can still realize top dollar for your timber by following a few basic
steps. What
many landowners don’t realize, at least not before
they sell timber, is that the value of their timber has as much to do
with the way that it is sold as it does with the volume and quality of
the timber itself. Put another way, there is a potential difference
between what your timber is worth (what the market will pay for your
timber) and the price you actually receive. How much of that potential
market value you realize depends on how well you understand the timber
sale process and market your timber.
The
price your timber is worth is what somebody is willing to pay for it.
But for any given tract there are many potential buyers. So how do you
know what all of these buyers are willing to pay? The answer is
straightforward, but before we dive into what drives timber values and
the timber sale process, we’ll cover the basics: some statistics on
forestry in Virginia and a few working definitions. I will not attempt
to address the tax considerations of timber sales in this article
other than to say that timber taxes will greatly affect your bottom
line. Keeping good records is essential, as is the use of a
professional forester or accountant familiar with timber taxation.
Timber sale revenues bump many landowners into the next tax bracket; a
knowledgeable professional forester and accountant can greatly reduce
Uncle Sam’s cut of your timber sale proceeds. We’ll cover timber
tax issues in later articles. Virginia
is 60 percent forested - about 15 million acres of total forestland.
60 percent of this total consists of mixed hardwood species such as
oaks, hickories, yellow-poplar, maple, and ash - and occur mostly in
the mountains and piedmont. The remaining 40 percent of Virginia’s
forests are southern yellow pine (loblolly, shortleaf, and Virginia).
There are significant pine stands in the mountains, and likewise,
major hardwood forests in the coastal plain. In other words,
Virginia’s forests are very diverse. This forest resource supports
one of the largest manufacturing industries in the state ranking first
in employment (about 300,000 employees), second in wages, and fourth
in value added processing. What may surprise you is who owns these
forests: nearly 80 percent of Virginia’s forestland is owned by
private landowners with no affiliation to forest industry. The federal
government owns about 10 percent (the Washington and Jefferson
National Forests), and forest industry companies own the remaining 10
percent. Private forest landowners supply the majority of wood used by
the forest industry. Through their collective marketing and land
management decisions, private landowners have the greatest effect on
the current and future condition of the forest resource. Standing
timber is called stumpage
and is sold by weight or volume. The common weight unit is tons, and
the industry trend is toward the purchase of wood on a per ton basis.
Volume units include cords (4’ x 4’ x 8’ = 128 cubic feet) and
board feet (1” x 1” x 12” = 1 cubic foot). The word timber is
used to include all stumpage sold in a timber sale, regardless of end
product. That is, most timber sales include stumpage that will end up
as a mix of different forest products including sawtimber, pulpwood,
veneer (or plylogs), chip-n-saw (pine logs 10 and 11 inches in
diameter), utility poles, pilings, and firewood. The two most common
timber products are pulpwood and sawtimber. Pulpwood is generally
defined as any tree (or part of a tree) 6 to 11 inches in diameter at
breast height (DBH, which is 4.5 feet above the ground). Low quality
trees up to 20 inches DBH that are unsuitable for sawtimber logs are
also used for pulpwood. While pulpwood has historically been purchased
in cords, forest industry has moved almost entirely to buying pulpwood
by the ton. Sawtimber stumpage is sold in either tons or thousand
board feet (MBF) and is generally defined as a pine or hardwood tree
12 inches DBH or larger. Over
the past fifteen years, real stumpage prices have increased
significantly for all of the products mentioned above. From 1985 to
2000, southern sawtimber stumpage (average pine and hardwood) has more
than doubled from about $90/MBF to $200/MBF. Likewise, southern
pulpwood prices have increased dramatically during the same period.
However, these prices are southwide regional averages and do not take
into account the many local, regional, and even global factors that
influence stumpage prices. Variations in local factors have
justifiably brought much lower and higher prices than southern market
averages. That’s why I caution landowners about basing their price
expectations based on market averages or even what your neighbor sold
his timber for last year - variations in price are great, even for
similar tree species in a given locality. More importantly, what
different buyers are willing to pay for the same tract of timber can
and often does differ by tens of thousands of dollars. The
factors that affect what your timber is worth (and also impose limits
on your forest management activities) fall under three broad
categories: biologic, social, and economic. Biologic factors include
soil productivity, site conditions, climate, and existing plant and
animal species. For example, the direction your harvest site faces,
called aspect, has a huge impact on the tree species and quality of
trees found on that site. Ridgetops, south and west facing sites
receive more sunlight and are typically dryer and have poor, shallow
soils. Therefore these sites tend to support lower quality and lower
value species such as Virginia pine and eastern red cedar. On the
other hand, north and east facing coves are wetter and have deeper
soils that support higher quality and higher value hardwood species
such as yellow-polar and northern red oak. As with cropland, soil
productivity is a critical factor determining tree quality, growth,
and yield. A
landowner’s past management and harvesting decisions are also a
major biologic factor influencing price. Poorly placed and designed
skid trails and logging roads often lead to soil erosion, decreased
site productivity, and poor tree growth and form. A related issue,
particularly in mountain hardwood stands, is diameter limit cutting.
Also known as high grading or selective cutting (not to be confused
with selection harvesting), diameter limit cuts remove all trees
greater than a specified DBH, generally 14” or greater. Diameter
limit cutting is often conducted and even encouraged as an alternative
to removing all trees from a stand (clearcutting). However, these cuts
favor the removal of the high grade timber and allow low quality, less
vigorous trees to remain and dominate the stand. Practiced over
multiple harvests, diameter limit cuts eventually leave an unhealthy
stand of low quality, low value hardwoods that are more susceptible to
disease and insect damage. From both a financial and ecological
standpoint, diameter limit cutting is a very poor practice, is
conducted solely for the financial benefit of the timber buyer, and
has no place in sustainable forest management.
Social
factors such as water quality and harvest practices laws, local
ordinances, and neighboring landowners may limit what, where, and when
you harvest, thereby reducing the price you receive for your timber.
Finally, economic factors affecting timber prices include your
proximity to markets and mills, the demand for your products (local,
regional, and global), market cycles and time of harvest, and labor
and capital constraints. Product demand and market cycles are probably
the most significant economic factors for forest landowners to
consider. While you can do little about what markets are doing, unlike
agricultural commodities you can time the market and choose not to
harvest until prices rise. Unless your trees are dead or dying, they
will continue to grow in value until you decide to cut. Further, some
price cycles are predictable. For example, stumpage prices generally
follow seasonal climate changes - during wet weather, logs become
scarce because many sites become too wet to harvest. Consequently,
during these wet periods, stumpage prices generally increase and dryer
sites bring premium prices. On the other hand, prices often decrease
following natural disasters such as hurricanes and ice storms which
tend to flood the market with downed and damaged wood. So
how much is your timber worth? Again, the value of your stumpage has
no set value, but is worth whatever you and the buyer agree to.
Chances are, if someone knocks on your door and gives you an offer for
your timber it’s a pretty sure bet that your timber is worth more
than their first offer, potentially a lot more. It’s also fairly
certain that there are many other potential buyers interested in your
timber as well. Different buyers are willing to pay different amounts
for the same tract of timber for reasons that usually center around
production efficiencies. Some loggers have lower costs of production,
e.g. they have shorter haul distances or their equipment is more
suited to the conditions of your site. If the timber buyer is a mill,
they may simply need the wood more than other buyers in the area, or
need the specific species and quality of trees on your site and are
therefore willing to pay better prices for your timber. But unless you
are intimately familiar with local timber markets, market cycles, and
the factors that affect timber prices, the best way to identify the
best buyer and capture top dollar for your timber is to involve
professional foresters. READ PART 2: SOURCES OF PROFESSIONAL ASSISTANCE |